Tuesday, March 30, 2010
I'm not Nate Silver at 538, nor do I have a crystal ball, but when November rolls around the Democrats will maintain the majority and get back to 60 seats in the Senate.
I realize I'm alone on this thought - most of my friends have told me.
The biggest part of a political party is the leader. The Democrats clearly have one. Big O. And we know who number two, three, and four are. Who is the face of the Republican/GOP/Tea Party?
Michael Steele. The token black guy they pulled in to counter Obama being President - isn't working out so well. He's mired in the Bondage Club Expense scandal, he's previously been accused of overspending, he wasn't too popular to begin with, and now they want him to resign.
Sarah Palin. She quit her government job. And now Miss 'anti-Hollywood, Obama's a big fat celebrity, I'm real America' is gonna... go do a television show in Alaska when she's not contributing on Fox News.
John McCain. He was their choice for President and two years later, might not even be called back to the Senate. And he's teaming with Palin... so...
Michele Bachman. She is a Tea Partier all American kind of gal who won't fill out her Census and can't spell Amarica correctly on her website.
Liz Cheney. The daughter of the most unpopular VP ever who hears what Michele Bachman says and then makes it even crazier.
Bobby Jindal. The GOP's new face who was also a minority. Two birds. One.... Wait, I remember him making a little speech after the State of the Union and... where... Did they just send him to the back of the line?
Mitt Romney. The guy who was for Obama type health care before he was against it?
Another Bush? John Boehner? Who's left?
Whoever the Tea Party is for, the GOP will oppose and vice versa. McCain supporters don't like Palin and Palin supporters don't like McCain. Don't believe me... go to her facebook page.
I know they'll come up with someone, but with everyone chomping at the bit, the party splitting into two parties, there will be infighting and chaos. That's what happens. The Democrats will bring this up around September/October and the Republicans will defeat themselves.
On top of that, the Dems will campaign hard for their candidates. They know how two years of obstructionism will look. That whole Supreme Court decision on campaign funding - the Dems will use it. They brokered a deal with Big Pharma to pass health care... do you think there was some sort of handshake thing in a back room about supporting Democratic campaigns in the fall?
I'm not saying this is the sole reason. But if the Democrats can keep things moving, get things done, and Health Care Reform and Student Aid Reform are successful - so too will be the Democrats.